Environmental Impact Assessment Based On A
Potential Oil Spill Scenario: Eastern Black Sea
Coastal Zone, Turkey
Author(s)
Ö. Acır, R. Aps, M. Fetissov & M. Sert
Abstract
The coastal fishery made in the Eastern Black Sea coastal area satisfies the
country’s major demand for fish and seafood. The area has also attracted
attention with the increasing international oil and gas exploration activities
carried on recently. Large capacity tankers pass through this sea area to carry
crude oil and petrochemical products while existing and planned hydrocarbon
transportation pipelines increase the cargo traffic as well. Therefore the new
environmental risks are threatening this region’s ecosystem due to the potential
events such as tanker accidents, well explosions or pipeline leaks. In this study,
the off-shore oil spill scenario is modeled for the Eastern Black Sea area.
Potential Incident Simulation Control and Evaluation System (PISCES 2) is used
to simulate the spreading of the spilled oil. The following factors are taken into
consideration in the mathematical model: 1) environmental parameters:
coastline, field of currents, weather, wave height and water density, 2) physical
properties of spilled oil: specific gravity, surface tension, viscosity, distillation
curve and emulsification characteristics, 3) properties of spill sources. Results of
the oil spill scenario modeling shows extremely negative environmental impact
of the potential oil spill accident on the coastal zone of the Eastern Black Sea.
Keywords: environmental impact assessment, net environmental benefit analysis,
Bayesian inference, oil spill simulation, Eastern Black Sea.
Keywords
environmental impact assessment, net environmental benefit analysis,
Bayesian inference, oil spill simulation, Eastern Black Sea
Related Book
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