Modelling The Effect Of Global Warming On An Aquatic Ecosystem In Central Italy
Price
Free (open access)
Transaction
Volume
34
Pages
9
Published
1999
Size
541 kb
Paper DOI
10.2495/ECO990081
Copyright
WIT Press
Author(s)
N. Marchettini, C. Mocenni and V. Niccolucci
Abstract
The concentration of atmospheric CC^ is expected to double from 365 to 700 ppm by volume by the middle of the next century. Projections of CC^-induced climate change are less certain, but most of them predict a 2-4°C temperature increase, i.e. "global warming" [1]. On the other hand the effects of temperature in ecosystems are well known [2] regarding the solubility of O? and the limitations imposed to the photosynthetic process. We study the simulation effects of such a temperature increase of 2-3 °C in a structural mathematical model describing the dynamics of a coastal shallow water ecosystem located in the Natural Park of Circeo (Rome, Italy) [3]. Preliminary results of the simulation
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