Development Trajectory Of Energy Consumption
And Carbon Emissions In Developing Countries
Author(s)
A. Dela Cruz Generosa & T. Fujita
Abstract
This paper uses a complete decomposition model to study cross-country comparison
of development trajectories of energy utilization and carbon emissions in
developing economies. Variation in total energy consumption and carbon emissions
is dominated by economic activity effect in 83 developing countries from
1980 to 2003. Country-specific contribution and comparative intensity analysis
reveal that improvements in energy efficiency can be accompanied by a slower
switch to cleaner or less carbon intensive fuels.
Keywords: decomposition, energy efficiency, carbon intensity, fuel-switching.
1 Introduction
Climate change mitigation requires broader and meaningful participation of all
countries. However,most developing countries remain reluctant to coordinate policies
and commitment to globalmitigation effort. Although the Kyoto Protocol suggests
common but differentiated responsibilities [1] from all countries, whether
developing countries are able to engage in emissions reduction strategy is still
open to debate.
In this paper, we use a decompositionmodel introduced by Sun [2] to explain the
sources of variation in energy consumption and carbon emissions in an expanded
data set of 83 developing economies. Unlike the usual end-time period comparison
in the literature, we compare annual values to a base year. As in Luukkanen and
Kaivo-oja [3, 4] and Lise [5], we continue analysis on the dynamics of energy
use and carbon emissions using the Kyoto prescribed 1990 base year. An analysis
on the deviation from the baseline period contributes in designing and planning
climate change strategies and policies at the national level, and in search for more
meaningful participation of developing countries at an international level.
Keywords
decomposition, energy efficiency, carbon intensity, fuel-switching.
Related Book
Other papers in this volume
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