A Generic Approach For Simulation Of
Large Earthquakes
Author(s)
B. Fälth, H. Hökmark & R. Munier
Abstract
This paper presents a generic modeling approach to estimate the possible static
and dynamic effects of an earthquake on a deep repository for spent nuclear fuel.
3D models, including a discrete fault plane and numerous surrounding fractures,
are analyzed dynamically with 3DEC. An algorithm to control the rupture
initiation and the following propagation along the fault plane is developed.
Model geometries, the mechanical properties of fault and rock, and the in-situ
stresses are calibrated to give the intended seismic moment. M5 and M6 events
are simulated with models where the complete fault plane is included (full 3D
models). In order to simulate larger earthquakes (M7.5), quasi-3D models with
truncated fault planes are developed. The relevance and conservativeness of the
models are assessed by comparison of the resulting fault movement and ground
motions with data found in the literature.
Keywords: modeling, repository, seismic attenuation, stress drop, slip velocity.
1 Introduction
In the KBS-3 concept for geological disposal of spent nuclear fuel, applied by
the Swedish Nuclear Fuel and Waste Management Company (SKB), copper
canisters with a cast iron insert containing the fuel are deposited in vertical
deposition holes at 400-700 m depth in crystalline rock (fig. 1(a)). The canisters
are surrounded by a bentonite clay buffer for isolation and mechanical protection
[1]. Large shear displacements along a fracture intersecting a canister could
obviously damage the canister, in particular if the fracture shear velocity is high
(fig. 1(b)). In SKB’s safety assessment, canisters sheared 100 mm or more count
as failed [1].
Keywords
modeling, repository, seismic attenuation, stress drop, slip velocity.
Related Book
Other papers in this volume
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