Risk Perception In Emergency Planning
Environments
Author(s)
A. Pratelli
Abstract
Catastrophic events which are able to generate great emergency situations
involving very large areas and huge networks are usually characterized by very
low values of occurrence probability. This leads us to believe that individual risk
perception is consequently and most likely affected by errors and it is also rather
far from the effective risk level. Therefore, a priori assignment of an event risk
factor is not very correct, because it can lead to large misevaluations. The risk
measure of an event is a research field where some concepts belonging to
psychometrics, physics and sociology are often interacting, if not mutually
overlapped.
This paper deals with a relatively new approach to individual risk perception
and evaluation based on Prospect Theory and shows its applications for disaster
and emergency management in a transport network. The main differences and
advantages with other more traditional approaches are also displayed and
discussed. Finally, some practical examples are referred to in order to support the
strengths of Prospect Theory potential applications.
Keywords: risk perception, Prospect Theory, emergency management, decision
making.
Keywords
risk perception, Prospect Theory, emergency management, decisionmaking
Related Book
Other papers in this volume
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