Container Maritime Transport On An
International Scale: A Procedure For Aggregate
Estimation Of Demand Variables
Author(s)
F. Russo & G. Musolino
Abstract
The paper presents a procedure for an aggregate estimation of demand variables
of the containerized maritime freight market. The procedure is specified in
different steps and a preliminary application is executed to forecast the
throughput and transhipment variables in the Mediterranean area, according to
expectations before the crisis and then to the new phenomena occurring today in
the container market.
Keywords: containerized maritime freight, demand variables, Mediterranean
area.
1 Introduction
In the scientific and technical literature, if variables of freight demand have been
identified and measured [1], few variables have been associated to containerized
maritime freight demand. They may be grouped into three main classes:
throughput, transhipment and origin-destination (OD) flow. The first two classes
of variables may be further characterized according to whether containers are full
or empty. The third variable may provide a useful characterization in terms of
empty containers if the problem of empty container management needs to be
highlighted.
Throughput of a port derives from measurements of the number of containers
handled by the (ship to shore) cranes per unit of time (e.g. TEUs/year); it is
generally used for ex-post analysis. Throughput in the Mediterranean area is
obtained as the sum of the throughput values in Mediterranean ports.
Keywords
containerized maritime freight, demand variables, Mediterranean
area.
Related Book
Other papers in this volume
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