An Urban Growth Model For Strategic Urban
Planning On A Regional Level: A Proposed Model
Prototype For Greater Cairo In The Year 2050
Author(s)
S. A. Magdi
Abstract
Understanding and simulating urban growth patterns is the first objective for
urban modelling. The goal of this paper is to propose a model prototype for
urban growth on the regional planning level, which could show what will be the
pattern scenarios for Greater Cairo urban growth in the year 2050; using a multi
dimensional system that can deal with spatial, temporal and decision-making
complexity. While system thinking has been widely accepted by urban planners
and other decision-makers engaged in urban planning, we consider urban growth
as a complex system. The exploration is conducted by answering the most
important questions which are: Where is urban growth occurring? And what are
its trends? The methodology consists of three approaches: first the theoretical
approach including: the most important definitions of the study problematic,
defining the variables of the urban growth, second, the paper links the theoretical
approach with the major analytical approaches through model dimensions,
finally proposing model prototype based on geographic information systems
(GIS) with visual basic programming language within mathematical models.
Keywords: urban modelling, urban growth, strategic urban planning.
1 Introduction
Urban modelling has become one of the sub fields of geographic information
systems (GIS) in the long-term research challenges, and digital technology is
Keywords
urban modelling, urban growth, strategic urban planning.
Related Book
Other papers in this volume
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