Simulation Of Land Use Changes For The Planning
Of A Metropolitan Area
Author(s)
S. Kanchanamala & S. P. Sekar
Abstract
An urban system is complex and so it can respond in more than one way to its
environment. Urban land use dynamics are the direct consequence of the action
of individuals, public and private agents acting simultaneously in time over the
urban space. Urban land use represents an intense and complete transformation
of the natural environment for its essential construction of urban fabrics
including residential, industrial and infrastructure development which is driven
by population growth, social and economic development. Urban planning usually
involves the comparison between a set of planning scenarios and development
options before making a plan. The analysis of alternative planning options is an
essential part of plan making. Every time an urban land use plan is prepared, the
urban planners are under pressure with limited resource availability and time
frame. The plans are therefore prepared without application of an appropriate
scientific tool or urban model, to minimise resource and time and so the plans
suffer validation. Further, evaluation of the plans in the mid-course with the
ground reality and modification wherever necessary is possible only when they
have suitable tools in hand to prepare alternate plans. Such a plan will encounter
fewer errors and be more successful.
In this context, the paper attempts to develop a tool for the planners to help
them in assessing the future development in a metropolitan context at any given
point of time. The variables which influence urban land use change are identified
and a land use simulation model is developed to simulate future land use
scenarios. The land use scenarios guide in forecasting the future requirements of
infrastructure and communal facilities. The model is demonstrated with a village
level case study in Chennai Metropolitan Area.
Keywords: urban planning, land use change, variables influencing land use
change, simulation model, scenario planning.
Keywords
urban planning, land use change, variables influencing land use
change, simulation model, scenario planning.
Related Book
Other papers in this volume
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