Agent-based Modelling And Inundation
Prediction To Enable The Identification Of
Businesses Affected By Flooding
Author(s)
G. Coates, G. I. Hawe, N. G. Wright & S. Ahilan
Abstract
Flooding continues to cause significant disruption to individuals, organisations
and communities in many parts of the world. In terms of the impact on
businesses in the United Kingdom (UK), flooding is responsible for the loss of
millions of pounds to the economy. As part of a UK Engineering and Physical
Sciences Research Council funded project on flood risk management, SESAME,
research is being carried out with the aim of improving business response to and
preparedness for flood events. To achieve this aim, one strand of the research is
focused on establishing how agent-based modelling and simulation can be used
to evaluate and improve business continuity. This paper reports on the
development of the virtual geographic environment (VGE) component of an
agent-based model and how this has been combined with inundation prediction
to enable the identification of businesses affected by flooding in any urban area
of the UK. The VGE has been developed to use layers from Ordnance Survey’s
MasterMap, namely the Topography Layer, Integrated Transport Network
Layer and Address Layer 2. Coupling the VGE with inundation prediction
provides credibility in modelling flood events in any area of the UK. An initial
case study is presented focusing on the Lower Don Valley region of Sheffield
leading to the identification of businesses impacted by flooding based on a
predicted inundation. Further work will focus on the development of agents to
model and simulate businesses during and in the aftermath of flood events such
that changes in their behaviours can be investigated leading to improved
operational response and business continuity.
Keywords
floods, businesses, agent-based modelling and inundation prediction.
Related Book
Other papers in this volume
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