Uncertainties In Dam Failure Modelling With The US NSW
BREACH Model
Author(s)
M. Mohamed, P.G. Samuels & M.W. Morris
Abstract
Uncertainties in dam failure modelling with the
US NWS BREACH model
M. Mohamed, P.O. Samuels, M.W. Morris
HR Wallingford, England
Abstract
This paper draws together experience from using the US NWS BREACH model
to simulate dam failure. Several deficiencies in the model have been identified
which can lead to substantial uncertainty in prediction of the outflow hydrograph
from the dam. There appears to be inconsistency in the transition from piping to
overtopping failure and the model can produce unusual hydrograph shapes. The
implications for practical application are that flood hazard areas identified by
hydrodynarnic modelling of the dam breach wave may be significantly in error,
particularly in the critical zone close to the dam where risk to life is greatest.
Introduction
During the 1980s, Danny Fread of the National Weather Services (NWS) in the
US developed the DAMBRK model, and along with this the NWS BREACH
model. The BREACH model has been widely used around the world, incl
Keywords
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