Applying MORT To The Analysis Of
Tabasco’s Flooding
Author(s)
J. Santos-Reyes, R. Alvarado-Corona, S. Olmos-Peña
& R. Tejeida-Padilla
Abstract
Natural disasters are increasing alarmingly worldwide in recent years. They have
killed millions of people, and adversely affected the life of at least one billion
people. Given this, natural disasters present a great challenge to society today
concerning how they are to be mitigated so as to produce an acceptable risk is a
question which has come to the fore in dramatic ways recently. The paper
addresses the following question: what could be learnt from natural disasters?
The paper presents some preliminary results of the analysis of Tabasco’s
flooding in Mexico, by the application of the MORT technique. In November
2007 the State of Tabasco was flooded by 80% and it is believed that al least one
million people were left homeless. On the other hand, the MORT technique may
be regarded as a structured checklist in the form of a complex ‘fault-tree’ model
that is intended to ensure that all aspects of an organization’s management are
looked into when assessing the possible causes of an incident. Moreover, the
MORT has been applied extensively to the analysis of past failure of sociotechnical
systems; this is the first time that it has been applied to the case of
natural disasters. A number of organizational failures have been highlighted by
the model. It is hoped that by conducting such analysis lessons can be learnt so
that the impact of natural disasters such as Tabasco’s flooding can be mitigated
in the future.
Keywords: risk, disaster, MORT.
Keywords
risk, disaster, MORT
Related Book
Other papers in this volume
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