Infectious Diseases: Surveillance, Genetic
Modification And Simulation
Author(s)
H. L. Koh, S. Y. Teh, D. L. DeAngelis & J. Jiang
Abstract
Infectious diseases such as influenza and dengue have the potential of becoming
a worldwide pandemic that may exert immense pressures on existing medical
infrastructures. Careful surveillance of these diseases, supported by consistent
model simulations, provides a means for tracking the disease evolution. The
integrated surveillance and simulation program is essential in devising effective
early warning systems and in implementing efficient emergency preparedness
and control measures. This paper presents a summary of simulation analysis on
influenza A (H1N1) 2009 in Malaysia. This simulation analysis provides
insightful lessons regarding how disease surveillance and simulation should be
performed in the future. This paper briefly discusses the controversy over the
experimental field release of genetically modified (GM) Aedes aegypti mosquito
in Malaysia. Model simulations indicate that the proposed release of GM
mosquitoes is neither a viable nor a sustainable control strategy.
Keywords: dengue, A H1N1, GM mosquitoes, simulation.
1 Introduction
The World Health Organization (WHO) announced on 11 June 2009 that the
influenza A (H1N1) has reached the stage known as pandemic alert phase 6 with
moderate severity. On 10 August 2010, WHO declared that pandemic alert phase
6 for A (H1N1) is officially over and the world has entered into the post
pandemic period. However, the looming threat of another A (H1N1) pandemic
Keywords
dengue, A H1N1, GM mosquitoes, simulation
Related Book
Other papers in this volume
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